Considering Selwood’s form, it’s more likely he will score more than 28 points compared to Cripps scoring 135. Therefore, there’s a greater chance of Selwood’s value increasing at the end of round 3, compared to Cripps not decreasing by almost the same value as Selwood’s increase.
Furthermore, Selwood is clearly undervalued this season after an injury interrupted 2020. Before injuries took hold last year, Selwood was averaging 109 points between rounds 1 and 6, with his highest score of 143 coming in that latter round against the Lions. At that peak, his price was sitting at $537,600, before dropping as the injuries started to derail his season.
Aside from an up and down 2019 season as well, Selwood has been a proven consistent SuperCoach scorer and should remain one this year, as long as he stays fit. Meanwhile, as for Cripps, he too is a proven Super Coach starter in the past but thus far in 2021, he isn’t playing anywhere near the heights that we are accustomed to seeing from him.
When Carlton are on, except Cripps to fire as well and maybe it could be worth waiting out his form rut for a hopeful late surge towards finals. However, I haven’t seen anything from Cripps in his past two games to suggest this “surge” is coming anytime soon. For me, Selwood being a cheaper option and in better form, is a good trade option that leaves you cash to spend in other departments with your second round 3 trade.