March 4, 2024

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Picking Nick Daicos? The History Of Rising Star Winners Second Seasons

Picking Nick Daicos? The History Of Rising Star Winners Second Seasons

Picking Nick Daicos? The History Of Rising Star Winners Second Seasons

Nick Daicos was easily the best rookie selection of 2022, with the Collingwood youngster winning the Rising Star Award after an impressive first season, where he averaged 91.3 SuperCoach points. Now, Daicos is expected to take his football to another level, with 46% of coaches already selecting him.

However, a dominant seasoned season isn’t a given and some coaches are worried about how young players perform in their second seasons compared to their debut year. So, this raises the question, how have Rising Star winners performed historically after their Rising Star season? Below, are all the current AFL-listed players who have won the Rising Star Award. Listed is their SuperCoach average during their Rising Star year and then their following season. Highlighted in bold are the players who averaged less in their second year.

Daniel Rich 2009 – 85.6 & 2010 – 78.2

Dyson Heppell 2011 – 83.5 & 2012 – 84.1

Jaeger O’Meara 2013 – 90.1 & 2014 – 97.7

Jesse Hogan 2015 – 78.3 & 2016 – 76.8

Callum Mills 2016 – 77.2 & 2017 – 73.3

Andrew McGrath 2017 – 70.7 & 2018 70.8

Jaidyn Stephenson 2018 – 64 & 2019 80.3

Sam Walsh 2019 – 86.9 & 2020 – 101.1

Caleb Serong 2020 – 81.1 & 2021 – 82.9

Luke Jackson 2021 – 71.6 & 2022 – 84.6

Based on the above, players have averaged more SuperCoach points seven times out of 10. That’s a 70% historical record showing that Rising Star winners have a bigger and better second season, after taking the Rising Star Award. So, for those worried about a second-year slump, the stats are very much against you.